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Prediction markets for Armis

Conditinal on Crimea being taken by Ukranian army, will Russia avoid using nuclear weapons?

Dec 21, 11:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.41%chance

512998

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

965

Will a European/EU army be created before 2030?

Apr 14, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.18%chance

402198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1235

648

Will a European or EU army be created before 2040?

Apr 15, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.6%chance

381835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1409

657

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

People's Liberation Army (PLA) stock

Apr 13, 9:22 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

15767

OptionProbability

NO

YES

267

216

Is Gunko A Spy For The Revolutionary Army?

Mar 3, 1:04 PMJan 1, 12:52 PM

11.33%chance

11750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

280

36

US Army

Apr 13, 9:29 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

20480

OptionProbability

NO

YES

333

322

Will Baron Trump join the US army in 2026?

Mar 25, 9:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.5%chance

8407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

22

Will U.S. Army Col. Karl Nell ever claim under oath that aliens exist?

Oct 21, 1:40 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

21.53%chance

6137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

53

SIGN HERE TO JOIN THE BREAD ARMY [ADD ANSWERS IF YOU WANT TO]

Jun 8, 9:13 AMDec 31, 9:26 AM

152

OptionProbability

IM SIGNING HERE 🫡

Im signing here 🫡

BREAD ARMY FOREVER 🫡

COUNT ME IN 🥖🫡

30

30

30

30

Which team will win the 2026 Army-Navy Game?

Jul 15, 6:04 AMDec 13, 1:00 AM

334

OptionProbability

Navy

Army

54

46

Will there be any living veterans of the WW2 Royal Hungarian Army left in 2031?

Jan 16, 10:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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