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Prediction markets for Armis

Conditinal on Crimea being taken by Ukranian army, will Russia avoid using nuclear weapons?

Dec 21, 11:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.95%chance

472916

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

958

Will a European/EU army be created before 2030?

Apr 14, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.91%chance

402114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1318

572

Will a European or EU army be created before 2040?

Apr 15, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.6%chance

371815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1409

657

Will the Colombian government and National Liberation Army (ELN) rebels announce a comprehensive agreement before the end of President Gustavo Petro’s term?

Jan 15, 4:17 PMAug 8, 2:59 AM

21.52%chance

151599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1960

387

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

Is Gunko A Spy For The Revolutionary Army?

Mar 3, 1:04 PMJan 1, 12:52 PM

15.93%chance

9700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

44

US Army

Apr 13, 9:29 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

20480

OptionProbability

NO

YES

333

322

Will U.S. Army Col. Karl Nell ever claim under oath that aliens exist?

Oct 21, 1:40 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

21.53%chance

6137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

53

Iran’s Army joins forces with the protestors to fight against the Revolutionary Guard by Persian New Year.

Jan 26, 3:42 PMMar 19, 11:59 PM

10%chance

5131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

[Holostars English -Armis-] Which talent will leave Hololive last?

May 13, 4:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

242

OptionProbability

Goldbullet

Octavio

Crimzon Ruze

Jurard T Rexford

42

23

23

11

Will Switzerland increase the amount of people allowed in their army to 150,000 or more by the end of 2027?

Jan 3, 9:50 PMJan 4, 9:49 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will there be any living veterans of the WW2 Royal Hungarian Army left in 2031?

Jan 16, 10:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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