OptionProbability
Qualify for 2026 ARML Tiebreaker
2026 Texas ARML A1 (Gold)
Take USAMO 2027 and make Blue MOP Cutoff
PUMAC 2026 Top 10 Overall Individual
Top 10 HMMT Feb 2027 Individual Overall
100
72
68
50
HMMT top 50 overall OR top 10 in any subject
AMM silver or higher
USAMO silver or higher
Get top 12th grader in the Lehigh Valley Math Contest
PUMaC 1st overall in B division OR make finals in A division
ARML top 20 individual OR Lehigh Valley A1 wins
Get 1st individual in any other in-person college math competition (*)
87
82
60
58
42
33
Get top 1st in the State Contest
PUMaC finals in A division
ARML top 20 individual OR My team wins
90
80
74
67
65
51
44
Pumac 2026 Finals
2027 USAMO and MOP
ARML 2027 Tiebreakers
CMIMC 2027 Top 10 overall
HMMT 2027 Top 10 overall
73
40
28
