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Prediction markets for ARX

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026

May 5, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.83%chance

162066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2279

887

Will arxiv still exist in 2030?

Mar 22, 1:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.55%chance

151424

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1308

940

Will arxiv still exist in 2040?

Mar 22, 1:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.08%chance

18754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

963

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030

May 5, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

18724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

888

One year later, how will Manifold users view the effects of arXiv's separation from Cornell University?

Mar 16, 3:29 PMMar 13, 10:00 PM

10460

OptionProbability

No Change

Mostly Negative

Mostly Positive

53

30

17

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