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American Soybean Association Urges Trump to Secure China Trade Deal as Farmers Face 53% Export Drop, China Turns to Brazil

American Soybean Association Urges Trump to Secure China Trade Deal as Farmers Face 53% Export Drop, China Turns to Brazil

16

6 months ago

Will Asahifuji (Ochirsaikhan/Ochiru) go undefeated through the end of 2026?

Nov 11, 5:20 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

3.05%chance

846443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

56406

1775

Who will win the 2028 Republican primary?

Mar 27, 2:27 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

639650

OptionProbability

Other

Ron de Santis

Donald Trump

Asa

Vivek Ramaswamy

Chris Christie

Doug Burgum

Mike Pence

Larry Elder

Perry Johnson

Will Hurd

Francis Suarez

Nikki Haley

Tim Scott

74

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

Total number of alcohol beverages consumed on the Round Table boys trip to Nashville in March 2026

Jan 14, 5:45 PMJan 15, 4:59 AM

61759

OptionProbability

Above 50

Above 100

Above 150

Above 200

Above 250

Above 400

Above 300

Above 350

99

99

99

99

82

47

36

12

US Politician Stocks

Apr 4, 11:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10558

OptionProbability

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Other

Gavin Newsom

Tucker Carlson

Elise Stefanik

J.B. Pritzker

Ron DeSantis

Nikki Haley

Kamala Harris

Vivek Ramaswamy

Mike Pence

Chris Christie

Asa Hutchinson

Ted Cruz

Tim Scott

Hillary Clinton

Dean Phillips

Kristi Noem

Michelle Obama

22

13

11

8

6

5

5

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Derik Queen for Asa Newell and what # pick in the 2026 NBA draft (via NOP to ATL)?

Jun 29, 7:07 PMJun 29, 10:59 PM

3439

OptionProbability

4-6 (Bad trade)

2-3 (Really bad for NOP)

7-10 (somewhat defensible)

1 (Worst case for NOP)

11-15 (slight overpay)

16-23 (fair trade)

24-30 (Pelicans won)

33

24

18

13

7

3

2

[Metaculus] Will a non-test Anti-Satellite (ASAT) weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

Oct 12, 10:02 PMJan 31, 5:00 AM

28.6%chance

11234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

400

351

Will Emmanuella Asabor (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.91%chance

5179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

112

Will "We should try to automate AI safety work asap" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 20, 10:23 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.73%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

997

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