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Top stories

NASA Analysis Says DART Impact Ejected 35 Million Pounds of Asteroid Debris

NASA Analysis Says DART Impact Ejected 35 Million Pounds of Asteroid Debris

Authors

11

4 months ago

SpaceX Signs First Mars Starship Deal With Italian Space Agency

SpaceX Signs First Mars Starship Deal With Italian Space Agency

Authors

18

3 months ago

Prediction markets for ASI

Will we get ASI before 2030?

Dec 20, 12:57 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

11.22%chance

8489360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1939

785

Will we get ASI before 2032?

Dec 24, 12:13 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

25.53%chance

6319678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

871

If ASI is achieved and doesn't wipe out humanity, will natural death be cured within 5 years?

Feb 27, 5:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.09%chance

629496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

812

Will we get ASI before 2033?

Dec 30, 1:14 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

31.94%chance

606954

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

950

Will we get ASI before 2034?

Jan 18, 9:01 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

37.89%chance

546181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

964

Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?

Jun 19, 7:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.11%chance

614865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

982

If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it begin mining the moon within a year?

Apr 8, 11:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

454105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

906

Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?

Feb 10, 1:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

9.44%chance

522444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

965

Will ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon

Mar 29, 11:03 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

69.52%chance

222102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

987

967

If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?

Jun 5, 4:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

24%chance

431593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)

Feb 6, 6:25 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

52%chance

181145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

422

Will ASI (if it exist and doesn’t wipe out humanity) care about people’s social relationships?

Jul 29, 12:07 AMJan 1, 1:04 AM

55.4%chance

6231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

937

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