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Top stories

NASA Analysis Says DART Impact Ejected 35 Million Pounds of Asteroid Debris

NASA Analysis Says DART Impact Ejected 35 Million Pounds of Asteroid Debris

Authors

11

6 months ago

SpaceX Signs First Mars Starship Deal With Italian Space Agency

SpaceX Signs First Mars Starship Deal With Italian Space Agency

Authors

18

5 months ago

Prediction markets for ASI

Will we get ASI before 2030?

Dec 20, 12:57 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

6.32%chance

8791688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3128

676

Will we get ASI before 2032?

Dec 24, 12:13 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

22.32%chance

6420078

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

822

Will we get ASI before 2031?

Dec 22, 2:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

14.22%chance

7118300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1758

796

If ASI is achieved and doesn't wipe out humanity, will natural death be cured within 5 years?

Feb 27, 5:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.09%chance

629496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

812

Will we get ASI before 2033?

Dec 30, 1:14 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

25.45%chance

617404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

850

Will we get ASI before 2034?

Jan 18, 9:01 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

28.78%chance

556603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1281

822

If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it begin mining the moon within a year?

Apr 8, 11:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

454105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

906

Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?

Feb 10, 1:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.36%chance

543095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

975

902

If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?

Jun 5, 4:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

24%chance

431593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)

Feb 6, 6:25 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

52%chance

181145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

422

Will a human land on mars before ASI is achieved

Mar 28, 11:50 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

46.89%chance

19711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

944

Will ASI (if it exist and doesn’t wipe out humanity) care about people’s social relationships?

Jul 29, 12:07 AMJan 1, 1:04 AM

55.4%chance

6231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

937

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