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Prediction markets for ASOS

What year will the next book in the Game of Thrones (ASOIAF) book series be released?

Sep 8, 3:21 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

348710

OptionProbability

never/later

2027

2028

2029

2026

2030

2031

2025

2024

2023

25

23

15

10

9

7

7

3

1

0

Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?

Jun 4, 6:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

283073

OptionProbability

The Winds of Winter

Doors of Stone

76

35

Who was the character that George R. R. Martin regrets killing (in the ASOIAF universe)?

Jan 9, 10:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

92448

OptionProbability

Grand Maester Pycelle

Other

Kevan Lannister

Maester Aemon

Janos Slynt

Oberyn Martell

Arys Oakheart

Beric Dondarrion

Quentyn Martell

Nimble Dick

Robert Baratheon

18

17

14

10

9

8

6

6

6

6

1

Will Aegon VI Targaryen be revealed to be a Blackfyre in the next ASOIAF book, The Winds of Winter?

Jul 28, 9:33 PMJul 8, 6:59 AM

59.15%chance

42198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

75

Will an ASO or RCS stage race use timed segments for the mountain classification before the end of the 2025 UCI season?

Jul 19, 10:48 PMNov 1, 4:59 AM

10.36%chance

51962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2701

100

When will the play about the tourney at Harrenhal set in George R. R. Martin's ASOIAF universe debut?

Nov 2, 5:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

232

OptionProbability

Before the release of "The Winds of Winter"

Before 2035

Before 2030

Within the lifetime of George R.R. Martin

Before 2027

Before 2028

Before 2029

Before 2026

76

71

66

66

50

50

50

34

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