Associations of Persons News

Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?

Jan 7, 4:13 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

210360016

OptionProbability

Gannon Ken Van Dyke

We don't find out by end of 2026

Other

JD Vance (VP)

Stephen Miller (Homeland Security)

Pete Hegseth (SecDef)

Barron Trump

Marco Rubio (Sec State)

John Ratcliffe (CIA)

Nicolás Maduro (former Venezuelan President)

Eitan Levi (is a civilian associate within the extended personal network of a U.S. Delta Force member)

Jorge Rodríguez (brother of Delcy Rodríguez)

Amanda Rubio (daughter of Marco Rubio)

Aurelio Perez-Lugones (Pentagon Contractor)

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

230164532

OptionProbability

Other

Zohran Mamdani

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Dario Amodei

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Elon Musk

Xi Jinping

James Talarico

Sam Altman

Vladimir Putin

Benjamin Netanyahu

AOC

Jensen Huang

Marco Rubio

Jon Ossoff

Gavin Newsom

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Bad Bunny

Kevin Warsh

Pete Hegseth

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

31%chance

1819062

OptionVotes

YES

1492

670

Dec 25, 7:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.46%chance

5115

OptionVotes

YES

143

Will I be the pirate king

Jun 11, 12:16 PMJun 11, 12:15 PM

26.97%chance

4113

OptionVotes

YES

161

How will competing views of AI identity (instance, weights, persona) be relatively favored by researchers in 2030?

Mar 23, 9:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

160

OptionProbability

Weights

Instance

Persona

Will Geert Wilders remain the sole registered member of the PVV (Partij voor de Vrijheid) until EOY 2035?

Jul 28, 9:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.06%chance

441

OptionVotes

YES

1033

953

Associations of Persons News

Prediction markets for Associations of Persons

Prediction markets for Associations of Persons

Prediction markets for Associations of Persons

Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Is Xi Jinping mentally retarded?

By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]

What is the Interest for personal mana loans?

Will I be the pirate king

How will competing views of AI identity (instance, weights, persona) be relatively favored by researchers in 2030?

Will Geert Wilders remain the sole registered member of the PVV (Partij voor de Vrijheid) until EOY 2035?

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