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Prediction markets for Aster

Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?

Feb 5, 2:21 AMDec 23, 4:59 AM

1.03%chance

4721404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9805

102

Will an asteroid be mined for minerals before 2040?

Feb 10, 12:05 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.01%chance

19615996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3258

2174

By 2040, will an organisation be mining asteroids for resources?

May 15, 1:30 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.97%chance

393890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

815

Will NASA mine on an asteroid by 2030?

Oct 17, 5:40 AMJan 1, 1:17 AM

15.52%chance

392002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

928

Will we redirect another asteroid by April 1, 2029?

Apr 2, 2:31 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

32.76%chance

191635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1587

343

Will we mine an asteroid by 2034?

Jul 31, 6:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.38%chance

181210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

699

Will asteroid mining ever be profitable before 2050?

Feb 11, 7:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.53%chance

211177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

660

By 2035, will an organisation be mining asteroids for resources?

May 15, 1:28 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.63%chance

26921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1246

846

Will 1 kg of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.75%chance

16758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1364

894

Will 1 ton of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2075?

Apr 5, 6:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.98%chance

15413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

951

Will humanity be mining asteroids by 2100?

Nov 11, 3:42 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

77.88%chance

19399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

917

Will there be a successful asteroid deflection by 2050?

Sep 5, 8:50 PMDec 31, 8:00 AM

28.17%chance

22367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

960

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