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Prediction markets for ATH

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2030?

Jun 2, 5:05 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

51.74%chance

161655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

966

Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?

Oct 29, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.08%chance

441459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1793

711

Will a self-identifying atheist be elected president of the United States by 2040?

Oct 29, 5:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.69%chance

301380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

879

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2035?

May 17, 1:38 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

64.73%chance

10694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1355

738

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Mar 9, 4:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.86%chance

24662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

737

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2032?

May 20, 5:26 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

51.41%chance

10600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

972

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2031?

May 21, 10:16 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

52.9%chance

7592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

944

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2033?

May 18, 12:47 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

57.55%chance

10395

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

859

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2034?

May 17, 10:03 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

62.71%chance

7357

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1297

771

Bitcoin (BTC) reaches new ATH before Strategy formerly Microstrategy (MSTR) sells BTC?

Nov 6, 11:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.13%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

GOOG ATH in Feb?

Feb 6, 8:59 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

20

20

20

20

20

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