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Prediction markets for ATOM

Is 1,000 atoms ever sufficient for the experience of suffering, under any design or any circumstance? (Upgradable KBC, resolves in 2025)

Feb 6, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.07%chance

231034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1695

814

Will an atomic phone be sold by 2031?

Jan 24, 7:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7%chance

15958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1095

965

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

45.13%chance

19957

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

927

Will atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

Apr 2, 9:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

13.85%chance

16849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

904

Will an element with an atomic number greater than that of oganesson (118) be synthesized before 2028?

Jul 15, 9:57 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

37.22%chance

17679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

734

Will NASA use atomic clocks on the moon as part of their initial timekeeping method?

Apr 22, 1:51 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.54%chance

18563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

915

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.82%chance

15314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

959

Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Apr 2, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

41.37%chance

13260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

922

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Oct 14, 1:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.63%chance

14226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

978

Will atomic chess be solved by 2040?

Mar 2, 9:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

42.88%chance

10150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Atomic Semi sell something substantial before 2028?

Feb 23, 2:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.27%chance

687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

120

Will any of Jose Luis ricon atoms undergo fusion via quantum tunneling while he is still intact?

Apr 5, 5:00 AMApr 13, 3:59 AM

43.92%chance

213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

108

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