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Top stories

Fired DOJ Antitrust Deputy Claims Lobbyists Skewed HPE-Juniper Merger Review

Fired DOJ Antitrust Deputy Claims Lobbyists Skewed HPE-Juniper Merger Review

Authors

12

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Attorney

The Lead Attorney Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 5:15 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7915237

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1536

1450

Will Kamala Harris (American Vice President, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.57%chance

301939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2065

895

Will Ted Cruz (American politician and attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.57%chance

14589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1418

929

Who will be the next Attorney General of the United States?

Apr 2, 9:36 PMDec 31, 10:35 PM

9526

OptionProbability

Lee Zeldin

Other

Todd Blanche

Ken Paxton

Jay Clayton

Jeanine Pirro

Mike Lee

Ron Desantis

Vladimir Putin

36

25

20

5

4

4

3

3

1

Will John Bolton (American attorney, diplomat, political commentator) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.49%chance

9491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

212

72

Will Ron DeSantis (American politician, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.95%chance

10481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

167

Who will be elected Texas Attorney General in 2026?

Mar 16, 2:36 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

6435

OptionProbability

Mayes Middleton

Chip Roy

Nathan Johnson

Other

Joe Jaworski

57

25

13

5

1

Will Liz Cheney (U.S. attorney and politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.11%chance

9366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

400

379

Will the DC Attorney General win his antitrust lawsuit against DC landlords?

Nov 20, 1:45 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

84.93%chance

13308

OptionVotes

NO

YES

381

82

Will a new Ace Attorney game be released before 2027?

Oct 14, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

55.85%chance

7187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

176

Will there be a new Ace Attorney game before "Spirit of Justice" is set in the past?

Jan 19, 9:07 AMSep 30, 10:59 AM

75.68%chance

250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

63

Will "What OpenAI Told California's Attorney General" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 19, 4:09 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.56%chance

228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

843

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