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Top stories

Fired DOJ Antitrust Deputy Claims Lobbyists Skewed HPE-Juniper Merger Review

Fired DOJ Antitrust Deputy Claims Lobbyists Skewed HPE-Juniper Merger Review

Authors

12

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Attorney

will Matt Gaetz be Attorney General in 2025

Nov 13, 9:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.31%chance

5922854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8688

115

The Lead Attorney Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 5:15 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7915237

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1536

1450

Will Kamala Harris (American Vice President, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.47%chance

291937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2119

893

Will Ted Cruz (American politician and attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.57%chance

14589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1418

929

Will John Bolton (American attorney, diplomat, political commentator) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.49%chance

9491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

212

72

Will Ron DeSantis (American politician, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.95%chance

10481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

167

Will Manifold be sent a case and desist letter from a state or federal attorney by the end of 2025?

May 1, 2:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.16%chance

5351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

438

42

Will the DC Attorney General win his antitrust lawsuit against DC landlords?

Nov 20, 1:45 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

85.62%chance

11286

OptionVotes

NO

YES

393

80

Will a new Ace Attorney game be released before 2027?

Oct 14, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

55.85%chance

7187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

176

Will Lauren De Laguna pass the bar and be a practicing attorney in at least one USA state by the end of 2026?

May 16, 1:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68.36%chance

261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will there be a new Ace Attorney game before "Spirit of Justice" is set in the past?

Jan 19, 9:07 AMSep 30, 10:59 AM

75.68%chance

250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

63

Will "What OpenAI Told California's Attorney General" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 19, 4:09 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.56%chance

228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

843

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