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Prediction markets for AUC

Will a painting created by an AI sell for over $10 million at a major auction house by 2030?

May 19, 6:45 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

30.82%chance

654305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1835

742

Will Wayne Brown 🟤 be voted in for a second term as Mayor of Auckland (immediately following his current term)?

Aug 4, 5:34 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

87%chance

131089

OptionVotes

NO

YES

330

57

T-bill auction offerings in 2026

Jan 25, 6:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4725

OptionProbability

52-week

13-week

4-week

26-week

8-week

17-week

86

78

72

72

68

63

Will the documentary about the Soule-Reeves family's auction-based decisions see the light of day by the end of 2025?

Jun 7, 5:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.51%chance

8585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1291

775

Will Wayne Brown be re-elected as Auckland mayor?

Oct 22, 1:09 AMOct 10, 11:00 AM

81.36%chance

9502

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1419

852

By December 31, 2025, will a major auction house (e.g., Christie’s, Sotheby’s, or Phillips) sell an AI-generated artwork

Mar 21, 8:51 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

44.01%chance

11209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

89

Will a major art auction house have sold AI-generated artwork that is later revealed to contain a hidden message? (2028)

May 19, 3:32 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

33.22%chance

8122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

266

134

Construction on Auckland's second Waitemata harbour crossing will commence construction by the end of 2029

Aug 4, 6:42 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

38%chance

496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

75

Will the record for most expensive car sold at auction be broken by the end of 2027? (Current record: $143M)

Mar 16, 4:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.66%chance

241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

111

Will the record for most expensive car sold at auction be over $200M by the end of 2027? (Current record: $143M)

Mar 16, 4:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.44%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

94

Will another Auckland Harbour crossing finish construction before 2050?

Dec 6, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

52.77%chance

318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

91

89

Will a commercial non-stop flight between London and Auckland exist before the end of 2030?

Nov 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.75%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

55

45

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