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Liemandt’s Alpha School Uses AI, 2-Hour Days in $65,000 Model
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10 months ago
Prediction markets for Austin
Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Nov 19, 3:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.1%chance
7847516
OptionVotes
1889
1308
OptionVotes
1716
898
Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?
Apr 18, 11:18 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
97.57%chance
3627714
OptionVotes
6336
158
OptionVotes
995
952
OptionVotes
1715
583
Conditional on at least dating 6 months before getting married, will Austin and Rachel still be married after 5 years?
Mar 26, 5:33 PMMar 26, 11:59 PM
95.49%chance
151254
OptionVotes
1753
891
Will Austin and Rachel’s child (Ada When) bet on this market by end of 2030?
Jan 18, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
38.8%chance
19953
OptionVotes
1139
891
OptionVotes
1013
987
Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
Sep 25, 8:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
88%chance
21823
OptionVotes
432
76
Will Houston -> Austin become an Interstate Highway by 2040?
Nov 30, 1:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
38.09%chance
2373
OptionVotes
1275
784
Will Austin LessWrong have a near-gender-balanced meetup in 2026?
Jan 3, 10:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
57%chance
6134
OptionVotes
115
87
Will Austin Shao be hired for Atomic Semi (https://atomicsemi.com/ ) before 2027?
Mar 26, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
48.64%chance
110
OptionVotes
70
70