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Top stories

Bill Ackman Backs AI-Driven Alpha School With Two-Hour Class Days

Bill Ackman Backs AI-Driven Alpha School With Two-Hour Class Days

Authors

6

1 year ago

Liemandt’s Alpha School Uses AI, 2-Hour Days in $65,000 Model

Liemandt’s Alpha School Uses AI, 2-Hour Days in $65,000 Model

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Austin

Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 19, 3:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.1%chance

7947536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1889

1308

Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?

Apr 18, 11:18 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93.26%chance

3731034

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3719

269

Will @Austin ever be a billionaire?

Nov 14, 5:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

5.2%chance

4328681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1716

898

If @Austin's wife or child died, would he cry?

Aug 26, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80%chance

232019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

952

University of Austin renames itself before 2030?

Apr 18, 6:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.37%chance

71966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1715

583

Conditional on at least dating 6 months before getting married, will Austin and Rachel still be married after 5 years?

Mar 26, 5:33 PMMar 26, 11:59 PM

95.49%chance

151254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1753

891

Will Austin and Rachel’s child (Ada When) bet on this market by end of 2030?

Jan 18, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.8%chance

19953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1139

891

UnflavoredChips (Austin) Stock

Mar 3, 12:55 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.54%chance

17874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

987

Will Houston -> Austin become an Interstate Highway by 2040?

Nov 30, 1:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38.09%chance

2373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Will Austin Chen try 5-MeO-DMT?

Jan 16, 12:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.66%chance

3212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

322

70

Will I visit Austin more than 3 times in 2026?

Jan 3, 8:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.43%chance

8115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

81

Will Austin Chen get diagnosed with plasticosis by EOY2039?

Sep 21, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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