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Prediction markets for Australian
Kevin Rudd out as Australian ambassador to the US by EOY 2026?
Oct 23, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
99%chance
510050
OptionVotes
9962
101
When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?
Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM
41.25%chance
543032
OptionVotes
1379
426
OptionProbability
69
21
6
1
1
1
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM
68.46%chance
7760
OptionVotes
1475
680
OptionVotes
1266
790
OptionProbability
92
7
2
OptionProbability
29
20
10
8
7
6
5
5
5
5
Will Level 5 (fully autonomous) cars be commercially available on any Australian roads by 2028?
Dec 20, 8:51 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
23.07%chance
5286
OptionVotes
190
126
OptionProbability
42
27
12
7
5
4
3
OptionVotes
329
30
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM
67.01%chance
5105
OptionVotes
143
70
Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?
May 21, 5:57 AMJun 30, 5:52 AM
123
OptionProbability
66
59
50
50