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Prediction markets for Authoritas

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:17 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

75.82%chance

518880

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1773

565

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.02%chance

848711

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7305

5306

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?

Jan 6, 5:55 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

17.26%chance

687311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3748

1306

Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:05 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

56.14%chance

415495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1131

884

Will China become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:03 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

75.11%chance

313170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1737

576

Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:04 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

87.27%chance

272537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2655

388

Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:07 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

45.79%chance

272366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

919

Will France become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:08 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

64.44%chance

282340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1346

743

Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:11 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

78.66%chance

202025

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1920

521

2028 US election: peaceful transfer of power to a non-authoritarian leader?

Jul 13, 11:18 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

75%chance

161370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1732

577

Will Argentina become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:14 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

12787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will USA have an authoritarian president who is openly an AI alignment or degrowth proponent by 2044?

Sep 14, 12:22 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.14%chance

16554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

978

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