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Prediction markets for Authoritas

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?

Jan 6, 5:55 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

19.07%chance

7323673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3474

1367

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.46%chance

9010995

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7898

5078

2028 US election: peaceful transfer of power to a non-authoritarian leader?

Jul 13, 11:18 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

75%chance

161370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1732

577

Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

68.95%chance

201083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1490

671

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:42 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

71.92%chance

11799

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1600

625

Will USA have an authoritarian president who is openly an AI alignment or degrowth proponent by 2044?

Sep 14, 12:22 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.14%chance

16554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

978

Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 5:04 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

62%chance

13320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

783

Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

49%chance

7309

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

980

Will India become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:52 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

43.77%chance

7258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

882

Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:52 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

6255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will China become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

43.01%chance

5226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:51 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

45.02%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

905

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