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Prediction markets for Authoritas

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:17 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

75.86%chance

428200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1775

565

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?

Jan 6, 5:55 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

20.35%chance

625958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3302

1409

Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:07 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

37.59%chance

202040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1288

776

Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:05 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

40.44%chance

221650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will China become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:03 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

75.67%chance

111582

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1764

567

Will France become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:08 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

57.2%chance

141568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

865

2028 US election: peaceful transfer of power to a non-authoritarian leader?

Jul 13, 11:18 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

75%chance

161370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1732

577

Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:11 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

65.82%chance

121115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1388

721

Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:04 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

77.84%chance

141057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1901

541

Will Argentina become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:14 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

46.6%chance

5575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

934

Will USA have an authoritarian president who is openly an AI alignment or degrowth proponent by 2044?

Sep 14, 12:22 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.14%chance

16554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

978

Will the world become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 8:57 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

94.15%chance

15471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

402

25

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