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Prediction markets for Authoritas

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?

Jan 6, 5:55 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

19.35%chance

7323559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3434

1376

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.89%chance

879459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7055

5411

2028 US election: peaceful transfer of power to a non-authoritarian leader?

Jul 13, 11:18 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

75%chance

161370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1732

577

Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

69.13%chance

201077

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1496

668

Will USA have an authoritarian president who is openly an AI alignment or degrowth proponent by 2044?

Sep 14, 12:22 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.14%chance

16554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

978

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:42 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

57%chance

10350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will India become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:52 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

43.77%chance

7258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

882

Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 5:04 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

60.85%chance

11258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1247

802

Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:52 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

6255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

6231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will China become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

43.01%chance

5226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:51 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

45.02%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

905

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