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Prediction markets for Authoritas

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?

Jan 6, 5:55 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

18.22%chance

7424028

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3598

1339

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.84%chance

9011124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8270

4949

2028 US election: peaceful transfer of power to a non-authoritarian leader?

Jul 13, 11:18 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

75%chance

171380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1732

577

Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

76.76%chance

231281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1818

550

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:42 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

72.7%chance

13999

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1632

613

Will India become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:52 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

47.41%chance

15575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

949

Will USA have an authoritarian president who is openly an AI alignment or degrowth proponent by 2044?

Sep 14, 12:22 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.14%chance

16554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

978

Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

48.21%chance

10439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

965

Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 5:04 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

59.24%chance

15375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1206

829

Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:52 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

47.56%chance

7305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will China become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:54 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

40.94%chance

6276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

833

Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:51 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

42.84%chance

4155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

866

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