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Top stories

Tesla Hiring Autopilot Operators in Queens as It Eyes NYC Robotaxi Expansion Without Permits, Rivaling Waymo and Expanding to India

Tesla Hiring Autopilot Operators in Queens as It Eyes NYC Robotaxi Expansion Without Permits, Rivaling Waymo and Expanding to India

Authors

19

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Autopilot

Will tesla autopilot reach level 5 by the end of this decade?

Jul 29, 11:52 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

48.69%chance

597572

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

971

When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?

Dec 15, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42185

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Nov 2026

After 2027-01-01

Before Sep 2026

Before July 2026

Before May 2026

Before Mar 2026

55

50

46

42

31

29

0

Top car company licenses Tesla autopilot by mid 2027 for US markets

Dec 27, 1:38 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

28.94%chance

7695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1567

638

US air traffic control (atc) has FSD autopilot by end of 2030

Feb 6, 2:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.87%chance

5209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

45

Commercial civilian autonomous flights by EOY 2040?

Jan 18, 10:04 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

55.38%chance

12197

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

991

Will GitHub release a service called "GitHub Autopilot" before 2028?

Sep 19, 4:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.16%chance

7183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

46

Top car company licenses Tesla autopilot by mid 2026 for US markets

Dec 26, 3:23 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.85%chance

6162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

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