OptionProbability
GPT-5.3 (doesn't include GPT-5.3 Codex)
GPT-5.4 (includes GPT-5.4 Codex or other non-Pro variants)
Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite Preview
GPT-5.4 Pro
Grok 4.20 (out of beta)
Minimax M2.6/M2.7
Gemma 4
Kimi K3
DeepSeek V4-Lite
GLM-5-Code
Haiku 4.6
Deepseek V4 (Full)
DeepSeek V3.3 or V3.5
Gemini 3.1 Flash Preview
Gemini 3.1 Flash GA
Gemini 3.1 Pro GA
GPT-5.3-Pro
Meta Avocado (or any Meta model)
GPT-5.3-Thinking
Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite GA
Sonnet 4.7
Grok 5
Opus 4.7
Minimax M3
Sonnet 5
100
30
27
21
18
15
10
9
8
7
5
4
3
2
1
Before December 2026
Before November 2026
Before September 2026
Before October 2026
Before August 2026
Before July 2026
Before June 2026
Before May 2026
Before April 2026
Before March 2026
97
91
87
84
83
59
17
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1303
767
Will the 2031 guidelines contain warnings against saturated fat?
Will seed oils be explicitly recommended again?
Will the guidelines explicitly recommend against seed oils by name?
Will there be a specific linoleic acid limit?
Will there be a specific PUFA limit?
Will there be a specific SFA limit?
Will tallow be specifically endorsed?
Will the upper protein recommendation increase beyond 1.6 g/kg?
Will the lower protein recommendation decrease below 1.2 g/kg?
Will raw milk be specifically endorsed?
Will cream be specifically endorsed?
Will ketogenic diets be specifically mentioned?
Will carnivorous diets be specifically mentioned?
Will avocados or avocado oil be specifically endorsed?
Will olives or olive oil be specifically endorsed?
Will coconuts or coconut oil be specifically endorsed?
Will macadamias or macadamia oil be specifically endorsed?
Will butter or ghee be specifically endorsed?
Will the guidelines return to recommending low-fat or skim dairy?
Will the protein recommendation be dropped?
50
24