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Prediction markets for BA

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

26.46%chance

132156190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166730

59977

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

20.12%chance

8245799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11819

6607

Ba stock

Apr 10, 11:06 PM

8134968

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1297

539

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70.9%chance

17525270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11950

9069

California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?

Apr 24, 8:29 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

30.16%chance

6910156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12234

8857

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

49.98%chance

208133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10346

9625

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

65.89%chance

657750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13869

7225

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

38.42%chance

227750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12660

7899

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Aug 22, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

45.55%chance

377373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10904

9175

Will LFP batteries account for more than 65% of global electric vehicle battery production (by GWh) in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

35.23%chance

54582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13560

7375

Nguyen Ba Stock

Apr 11, 9:35 AM

133696

OptionProbability

NO

YES

459

432

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.2%chance

113470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10161

9841

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