BAC News

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Jun 1, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.85%chance

120243647

OptionVotes

YES

139948

27580

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Nov 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.2%chance

15486803

OptionVotes

YES

6125

1486

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Jan 20, 7:14 PMDec 20, 10:59 AM

19.16%chance

19955405

OptionVotes

YES

2054

487

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

77.28%chance

17224160

OptionVotes

YES

14839

8066

Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?

Apr 20, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32%chance

8720070

OptionVotes

YES

1407

1066

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Mar 29, 6:43 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

93.97%chance

678062

OptionVotes

YES

5359

277

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Oct 30, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.76%chance

836178

OptionVotes

YES

1331

1135

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

YES

2141

900

Which of the following financial services/banking stocks will perform best in calendar year 2025?

Jan 10, 2:07 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

43303

OptionProbability

SoFi Technologies ($SOFI)

Citigroup ($C)

Other

Bank of America ($BAC)

Capital One ($COF)

JP Morgan Chase ($JPM)

Wells Fargo ($WFC)

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.48%chance

252203

OptionVotes

YES

1583

632

What nootropics or other cognitive enhancements will I see a significant positive effect from if I take them?

Jan 17, 11:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

251327

OptionProbability

dexedrine (dextroamphetamine) 5mg

5mg methamphetamine qAM PO

Increasing high quality fat and protein intake; reducing sugar, simple carbs, and grains. [this is not an aim to go into ketosis, no need to be extreme]

Methylphenidate at the correct dose

Eat more complex carbohydrates (chickpea pasta, lentil pasta? - trader joes has some good lentil pasta, and goodles are a decent mac and cheese replacement).

Chewing nicotine gum while learning new material

Cold water immersion. (Can be as simple as =>1min in shower under cold water)

Magnesium threonate. 1 capsule in the morning, one before bed. Result- need one less hour of sleep!

modafinil 50 mg 2-3 times per week (lowish dose; could go lower for less effect)

Drinking 2-3 cups of coffee daily.

Eat more vegetables

Eat high quality fats

Supplement to ensure adequate vitamin and mineral levels

Intermittent fasting with an 8-10 hour feeding window, following the same scheduled hours each day. [even if your schedule is in flux, your fasting/feeding window should remain relatively constant]

Vitamin D3 - 2000 IU daily

Drink enough alcohol to achieve ~0.075 BAC before working on tasks requiring creativity / lateral thinking

When will Shefali move (back) to SF?

Oct 25, 1:22 AMJun 1, 1:16 AM

OptionProbability

Nov 2025

Dec 2025

Jan 2026

Feb 2026

Mar 2026

Apr 2026

May 2026

Not before May 2026

BAC News

Prediction markets for BAC

Prediction markets for BAC

Prediction markets for BAC

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Which of the following financial services/banking stocks will perform best in calendar year 2025?

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

What nootropics or other cognitive enhancements will I see a significant positive effect from if I take them?

When will Shefali move (back) to SF?

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