OptionVotes
YES
NO
1545
648
1928
630
2126
470
1482
675
2134
2104
1477
562
1766
566
OptionProbability
He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.
He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.
He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.
He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.
Other
He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.
He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.
25
22
15
5
3
673
101
138
72
150
67