BAL News

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

317442362

OptionProbability

R Pres, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, R House - Republican Trifecta

D President, D Senate, D House - Democrat Trifecta

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

R President, D Senate, R House

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

18.58%chance

8245599

OptionVotes

YES

12653

6407

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

Jan 21, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.89%chance

8624237

OptionVotes

YES

1242

1026

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

YES

2729

2049

SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot

Jan 10, 6:11 PMJun 25, 11:59 PM

58.98%chance

1815655

OptionVotes

YES

11994

8342

Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?

Jan 29, 6:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.43%chance

1612011

OptionVotes

YES

1102

834

Was the Chinese balloon actually a spy balloon?

Feb 5, 4:02 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

79.18%chance

10411450

OptionVotes

YES

2547

1566

Will Haaland win at least 1 Ballon d`Or before retirement?

Nov 2, 5:38 PMNov 9, 10:59 PM

30.14%chance

439932

OptionVotes

YES

1631

263

Will San Francisco put a ‘Reopen the Great Highway / Close Sunset Dunes Park’ measure on a 2026 ballot?

Jan 8, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.95%chance

237011

OptionVotes

YES

6445

1606

Will Kamala Harris be on the ballot for another major election again after this election?

Oct 26, 4:46 PMNov 9, 4:59 AM

44%chance

263314

OptionVotes

YES

1128

886

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

Mar 29, 3:08 PMMar 28, 3:59 AM

82.35%chance

392206

OptionVotes

YES

3022

1644

Balance of power after the 2028 elections

Mar 20, 12:26 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

23870

OptionProbability

Democrat trifecta

Democrats win Presidency and House, Republicans win Senate

Republican trifecta

Democrat wins Presidency, Republicans win Senate and House

Republican wins Presidency and Senate, Democrats win House

Republican wins Presidency, Democrats win Senate and House

Democrats win Presidency and Senate, Republicans win House

Republican wins Presidency and House, Democrats win Senate

BAL News

Prediction markets for BAL

Prediction markets for BAL

Prediction markets for BAL

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot

Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?

Was the Chinese balloon actually a spy balloon?

Will Haaland win at least 1 Ballon d`Or before retirement?

Will San Francisco put a ‘Reopen the Great Highway / Close Sunset Dunes Park’ measure on a 2026 ballot?

Will Kamala Harris be on the ballot for another major election again after this election?

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

Balance of power after the 2028 elections

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