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Prediction markets for Ban

Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?

Dec 10, 3:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.58%chance

10516760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6386

1018

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5412310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19219

7438

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

Nov 15, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

81.93%chance

636318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1575

790

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Nov 10, 4:57 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

24.24%chance

1013752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1843

1542

Will a European country ban selling meat by 2100?

Aug 14, 11:40 AMAug 14, 10:59 PM

71.47%chance

623413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1599

715

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.92%chance

423097

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

692

Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?

Nov 8, 10:07 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

27.54%chance

222960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

617

Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

Feb 22, 1:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

42.14%chance

412101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

539

Will sales of new gas-powered leaf blowers be banned in the United States by 2030?

Jun 28, 4:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.12%chance

141481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

993

Will over 50% of US trans youth live in states banning medically recommended care (incl. HRT, blockers) by end-2028?

Jun 4, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.64%chance

15890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1457

488

Will the FDA ban any sugar alcohols before 2030?

Jun 14, 1:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.06%chance

6682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

852

Will a city ban manually driven cars on at least one public road/lane by 2030?

May 23, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.24%chance

15416

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

901

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