OptionProbability
European Central Bank
Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Bank of Japan
Bank of England
Bank of Korea
Reserve Bank of India
Bank of Canada
Swiss National Bank
People’s Bank of China
US Federal Reserve
82
78
74
68
50
41
34
33
22
3.75%
3.50%
3.25%
4.00%
4.25%
3.00%
4.50%
4.75% or more
2.50% or less
2.75%
32
29
10
6
3
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
114
88
105
103
2.00% to 2.75%
3.00% to 3.75%
4.00% to 4.75%
5.00% to 5.75%
below 1%
1.00% to 1.75%
6% or higher
16
13
7
Rate unchanged
Rate increase
Rate decrease
59
38
4.75%
5.00% or more
14
11
9
5