OptionVotes
YES
NO
1466
900
4253
123
OptionProbability
Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)
Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons
An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task
Other (10m+ deaths)
350+ million climate-displaced persons annually
US Treasury payment default or missed obligation
Worldwide Pandemic
55
37
32
14
10
8
5
1568
886
1095
1027
221
45
2036-2040
2041-2045
2031-2035
2046-2050
2026-2030
25
21
20
19
134
74