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Prediction markets for Base Name Service

Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?

Aug 9, 6:45 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

10.93%chance

264226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2854

350

Will Twitter (X) shut down before 2027

Dec 9, 3:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.32%chance

311994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2529

722

What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]

Aug 10, 3:49 AMJun 2, 3:59 AM

201365

OptionProbability

X / Twitter

Bluesky

Other

Threads

Truth Social

Mastodon

Nostr

50

16

12

8

5

5

4

AI reduces public cloud spending by end of 2027?

Nov 6, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.62%chance

6331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Sega Stock

Apr 12, 1:11 AMApr 12, 5:59 AM

15

OptionProbability

NO

YES

75

65

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

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