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Prediction markets for Base Name Service

Will Twitter (X) shut down before 2027

Dec 9, 3:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.52%chance

332004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2479

727

What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]

Aug 10, 3:49 AMJun 2, 3:59 AM

221546

OptionProbability

Other

X / Twitter

Threads

Bluesky

Nostr

Truth Social

Mastodon

36

33

18

6

2

2

2

AI reduces public cloud spending by end of 2027?

Nov 6, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.75%chance

6340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

By 2032, will Peacock (the NBC streaming service) license Katy Perry’s “Peacock” for any official marketing material?

May 5, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.39%chance

562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Sega Stock

Apr 12, 1:11 AMApr 12, 5:59 AM

15

OptionProbability

NO

YES

75

65

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

280

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