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Top stories

Animoca Overhauls The Sandbox With 50% Layoffs and Office Closures

Animoca Overhauls The Sandbox With 50% Layoffs and Office Closures

Authors

11

3 months ago

Solana Hits $216, Leads Top 20 Coins with $5.08B DEX Volume, 56% Above Ethereum, and $43.88B Monthly Perp Trading

Solana Hits $216, Leads Top 20 Coins with $5.08B DEX Volume, 56% Above Ethereum, and $43.88B Monthly Perp Trading

Authors

4

3 months ago

Lombard Launches $1.5 B Yield-Bearing Bitcoin Token on Solana

Lombard Launches $1.5 B Yield-Bearing Bitcoin Token on Solana

Authors

15

3 months ago

Coinbase Widens In-App DEX Trading in Bid to Become ‘Everything Exchange’

Authors

12

4 months ago

Wyoming Launches Frontier Stable Token Backed by USD on Seven Blockchains, First U.S. State-Issued Stablecoin

Authors

55

4 months ago

Tokenized Asset Market Tops $270 Billion as Stablecoins Dominate

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Base

[read description] Did Trump have sexual relations with an underage girl? (based on 2025 evidence, according to poll)

Jul 23, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.17%chance

530172037

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

920

"Massive anti-AI preference cascade based on xrisk" by end of 2025?

Jul 19, 10:35 PMDec 31, 10:24 PM

4.27%chance

150113839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

47371

2111

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM

6%chance

5392680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2685

792

Steam Machine 512GB base SKU price?

Nov 12, 9:08 PMDec 12, 9:03 AM

13182056

OptionProbability

$500–$749

$750–$999

$400–$499

$1000–$1499

$0–$199

$200–$299

$300–$399

Above $1500

68

26

2

2

1

1

1

1

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 2, 6:27 PMJan 1, 9:00 PM

5%chance

4331317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3719

652

Will a GPT-4 level efficient HRM based language model be released before Feb 2026? [Details in description]

Jul 31, 3:58 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

8620327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2834

793

Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?

Oct 27, 3:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

97.23%chance

7017863

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16538

904

By EOY 2025, will the model with the lowest perplexity on Common Crawl will not be based on transformers?

Jan 5, 4:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.88%chance

3312803

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4441

478

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton? [Resolves based on poll]

Nov 17, 6:32 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

16.3%chance

272809

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2266

441

Will there be a Moon base by 2040?

Jun 24, 11:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

66.91%chance

422398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1205

869

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.66%chance

191588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6173

4649

based on my taste in music, recommend to me an album, any album that gets over 10 points resolves to YES

Oct 21, 4:13 PMApr 16, 8:59 PM

00

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