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Prediction markets for Battery

Will EV batteries cost less than 1000 USD in 2030?

Jan 22, 1:29 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

17%chance

5312798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

579

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 3:26 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

11.42%chance

15810665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3784

937

Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?

Jun 16, 7:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.7%chance

646012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1193

513

Will the "BV100" nuclear-powered battery become commercially available by end of 2025?

Feb 5, 5:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.25%chance

313262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2319

466

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2025?

Aug 16, 6:37 PMDec 1, 6:29 PM

16.66%chance

433062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1288

907

Is it better for battery health to charge new M1 Macbooks via Magsafe rather than USB-C?

May 19, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.07%chance

211238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

1353

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Feb 15, 9:48 PMApr 9, 11:59 AM

43.19%chance

211000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1165

694

Will I be able to summon a robotaxi in NYC before I can buy an EV with a all-solid-state battery?

Jan 25, 8:08 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.52%chance

21918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

946

China's battery energy output exceeds 50% of its peak historical coal energy output in any month until December 2025

Dec 10, 3:20 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

34.96%chance

3555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1364

733

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

Sep 13, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.28%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

971

Will Lithium stop being the most popular rechargeable battery chemistry before 2100?

Jun 21, 3:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.19%chance

18415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1288

939

Will my battery redqueening strategy backfire?

May 16, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.6%chance

16173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

994

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