OptionProbability
Will Aaron Judge hit 10+ home runs?
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 10+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 10+ home runs?
Will Bryce Harper hit 10+ home runs?
Will Gunnar Henderson hit 10+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 10+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 10+ home runs?
Will Brandon Lowe hit 10+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 10+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 20+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 20+ home runs?
Will any player hit 40+ home runs?
Will Jordan Walker hit 20+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 20+ home runs?
Will Brent Rooker hit 10+ home runs?
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 10+ home runs?
Will Jake Bauers hit 10+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 30+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 30+ home runs?
Will any player hit 50+ home runs?
Will Ryan O'Hearn hit 10+ home runs?
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 30+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 30+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 20+ home runs?
Will Juan Soto hit 20+ home runs?
Will Jackson Chourio hit 10+ home runs?
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 10+ home runs?
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 10+ home runs?
Will Bryce Harper hit 20+ home runs?
Will Francisco Alvarez hit 10+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 20+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 30+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 20+ home runs?
Will Joey Wiemer hit 10+ home runs?
Will Brady House hit 10+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 40+ home runs?
Will Junior Caminero hit 30+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 40+ home runs?
Will Nick Kurtz hit 30+ home runs?
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 40+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 30+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 30+ home runs?
Will Juan Soto hit 30+ home runs?
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 30+ home runs?
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 20+ home runs?
Will Junior Caminero hit 40+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 30+ home runs?
Will Sal Frelick hit 10+ home runs?
Will Ben Rice hit 40+ home runs?
Will Mike Trout hit 40+ home runs?
Will Mickey Moniak hit 40+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 40+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 40+ home runs?
Will Gunnar Henderson hit 30+ home runs?
Will Bryce Harper hit 30+ home runs?
Will Jacob Young hit 10+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 40+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 50+ home runs?
Will Nick Kurtz hit 40+ home runs?
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 30+ home runs?
Will Julio Rodriguez hit 30+ home runs?
Will Jake Baldwin hit 30+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 50+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50+ home runs?
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 40+ home runs?
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 30+ home runs?
Will any player hit 60+ home runs?
Will Brent Rooker hit 30+ home runs?
Will Matt Olson hit 40+ home runs?
Will Brandon Lowe hit 40+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 50+ home runs?
Will Junior Caminero hit 50+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 60+ home runs?
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 40+ home runs?
Will Jake Bauers hit 30+ home runs?
Will Nick Kurtz hit 50+ home runs?
Will Jackson Chourio hit 30+ home runs?
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 40+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 50+ home runs?
Will Francisco Alvarez hit 40+ home runs?
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 60+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 50+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 40+ home runs?
Will Brady House hit 30+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 60+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 60+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 60+ home runs?
Will Junior Caminero hit 60+ home runs?
Will any player hit 70+ home runs?
Will Brady House hit 40+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 50+ home runs?
Will Ryan O'Hearn hit 60+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 70+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 60+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 60+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 60+ home runs?
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 40+ home runs?
Will Nick Kurtz hit 60+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 70+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 70+ home runs?
Will any player hit 80+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 80+ home runs?
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OptionProbability
Thompson (2025) "Précis of the blind spot: Why science cannot ignore human experience"
Shimony (1963) "Role of the Observer in Quantum Theory"
French (2025) "Why quantum mechanics needs phenomenology"
Wheeler (1977) "Include the Observer in the Wave Function?"
Pienaar (2021) "QBism and Relational Quantum Mechanics compared"
London & Bauer (1939) "The Theory of Observation in Quantum Mechanics"
Zahavi (2025) "Quantum phenomenology Measurement, reflection, correlation"
Dennett & Kinsbourne (1992) "Time and the observer: The where and when of consciousness in the brain"
Barandiaran et al. (2009) "Defining Agency: Individuality, Normativity, Asymmetry, and Spatio-temporality in Action”
Putnam (1981) "Quantum mechanics and the observer"
Fields (2012) "If Physics Is an Information Science, What Is an Observer?"
Kent (2016) "Quanta and Qualia"
Ball (2023) "How Life Works: A User’s Guide to the New Biology"
James (1879) "Are We Automata?"
Islami & Wiltsche (2025) "The French crisis Rethinking the phenomenology of quantum mechanics"
Pienaar (2025) "French on London and Bauer, and QBism"
Nave (2025) "A Drive to Survive"
Manzotti (2025) "A Deflationary Account of Information in Terms of Probability"
Tod & Thompson (2025) "The Third Entity: Participatory Sense-Making, Agency, and Attentional Dynamics"
Stoica (2025) "What makes you an observer?"
Dieks (2018) "Quantum Mechanics and Perspectivalism"
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OptionProbability
I get my car a very weird paint job which would make it unsellable
Will go to edge Esmeralda (in any capacity, at least one event)
Will get cavity preventing bacteria
Japan JET Reunion 2025
I buy a video camera that can record for 24h+ and record various public places
Pickleball tournament
I use computer vision to run diy studies of politeness behavior, grouped by car brand etc
I start an AI beauty/art twitter and get 1k followers
I document a method of self modifying an SLR by blackening all surfaces
Publish and finish personal)group predictions tracking software
AI phrenology - publish a doc on a study of AI image generation models differential portrayals of previously very hard to measure aspects of the human condition such as facial shape linkages to personality
Build a personal pickleball court and attract community members to play there
Surreptitiously construct additional pickleball courts at Foster City
Publish an edited dashcam video of all the things I've filmed with the Tesla ssd
Tool to view twitter as someone else. Given that follows are public this should be easy
Create a nice Tesla models y fold over screen cover with cutouts for vital areas only. Makes night driving much easier. No need for a distracting map view if you're not turning for 200 miles
I off road hike far into iron point outside Golconda, NV
I set a personal daily mileage record
Make balatro mod which shows currently selected hand score if played (ie everyone's need for this otherwise great game)
Get gphotos to fix any of their innumerable UI bugs by complaining
Have a sci-fi story published online somewhere
Make neighborhood intro video with stories etc
Will go to a natal conference again
Local Free library and bulletin board at my place
Overland trek to CITY in Nevada, an off-limits experimental art city which has been in progress for over 50 years
Go to Mexico to see Trevor Bauer play
Go see the Starship 4 launch in Texas in 2024
Release "Reading the mind in the AI generated images"
Get over 1k users for my browser extension
Ship something involving image => description => more images to users
I go to West Africa and go to concerts, visit Nollywood etc
I write a science fiction novel about aliens who experiment with forced evolution
Browser extension to add metadata on all people's names, relating to their offspring number, success, etc
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