BBC Two News

🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 14, 12:36 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

426219

OptionProbability

If Biden/Dems Wins, Trump will be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life

If Biden/dems wins, the S&P500 will reach a new all time high before the end of his term

If Trump wins, the S&P500 will reach a new all time high before the end of his term

If Trump wins, Bitcoin will reach a new All Time High before the end of his term

If Trump wins, will the USA conduct mass deportations before end of his term

If Trump Wins, Trump will NOT go to prison before the end of his life

If Trump Wins, he will be impeached again before the end of his life

If Trump wins, the Ukraine/Russia war will end in a border settlement of some type before the end of his term

If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] report he has attempted to pass legislation to increase presidential term limits (i.e. >2 terms) before Inauguration Day 2029

If Trump wins, Biden will die before the end of Trump's term

Biden will win AND Trump will be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life

If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] report that 1,000,000+ undocumented immigrants have been deported during 2025

If Biden/dems wins, Bitcoin will reach a new All Time High before the end of his term

If Trump Wins, Joe Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of either of their lives

If Trump wins, will the USA pass Ukraine aid at least once in his term

If Biden/Dems Wins, Trump will go to prison before the end of his life

If Trump Wins, Trump will NOT be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life

If Joe Biden Wins, Hunter Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of Joe Biden's term

If Trump Wins, Trump will be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life

If Biden/Dems wins, they will expand the supreme court before the end of the term

If Trump Wins, Joe Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of Trump's term

If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] will be censored, prosecuted, nationalized, shut down, or prevented by government action from operating freely & openly in the US.

If Biden wins, Biden will die before the end of his term

If Trump wins, Hillary Clinton will be charged with a crime before the end of her life

If Biden wins, the Ukraine/Russia war will end in a border settlement of some type before the end of his term

If Dems/Biden wins, Trump will concede within 1 month

If Trump Wins, Hunter Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of Trump's term

If Biden/Dems wins, Trump will concede within 1 week

If Trump wins, Trump will die before the end of his term

If Biden/Dems wins, Trump will die before the end of their term

If Dems/Biden wins, China will invade Taiwan OR full blockade (or otherwise attack)

If Trump wins, China will invade Taiwan OR full blockade (or otherwise attack)

If Biden/Dems wins, we'll go to war in Israel/Palestine (troops on ground / in air)

If Trump wins, Russia attacks Poland

If Trump wins , the USA will leave NATO before the end of his term

If Biden/Dems wins, we'll go to war in Ukraine (troops on ground / in air) during his time in office

If Trump wins, they will expand the supreme court before the end of the term

If Dems/Biden wins, will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by end of his term

If Trump wins, will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by end of his term

Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)

Oct 27, 4:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.99%chance

161987

OptionVotes

YES

1562

871

Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)

Feb 19, 8:35 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

19.34%chance

211376

OptionVotes

YES

510

123

[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?

Aug 3, 11:25 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

27.34%chance

221255

OptionVotes

YES

1157

913

Which Premier League team listed below will spend the most amount of money during the summer transfer window?

Jul 9, 6:38 AMSep 2, 6:34 AM

13579

OptionProbability

Liverpool

Arsenal

Aston Villa

Chelsea

Manchester City

Manchester United

Newcastle United

Nottingham Forest

Tottenham Hotspur

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

YES

1081

928

Longtermist Policymaking provokes Thermonuclear War by 1st Jan 2028

Aug 11, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.9%chance

10391

OptionVotes

YES

464

144

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Jul 9, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

11313

OptionVotes

YES

130

Which of these UK TV channels will broadcast traditional free-to-air content on 1st February 2035?

Aug 9, 12:53 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

5223

OptionProbability

BBC One

BBC Two

ITV

Channel 4

Channel 5

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.32%chance

4154

OptionVotes

YES

218

Will China escalate it’s claim to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea before the end of 2025?

Apr 11, 10:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.25%chance

8153

OptionVotes

YES

278

177

Will the arrested labour councillor, Ricky Jones, be sentenced for longer than a year?

Aug 8, 6:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.36%chance

4119

OptionVotes

YES

148

BBC Two News

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Prediction markets for BBC Two

🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)

Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)

[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?

Which Premier League team listed below will spend the most amount of money during the summer transfer window?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Longtermist Policymaking provokes Thermonuclear War by 1st Jan 2028

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Which of these UK TV channels will broadcast traditional free-to-air content on 1st February 2035?

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Will China escalate it’s claim to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea before the end of 2025?

Will the arrested labour councillor, Ricky Jones, be sentenced for longer than a year?

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