OptionProbability
Number of president executive orders in 2025
Number of USA presidential pardons in 2025
Doomsday Clock seconds to midnight
Largest earthquake in 2025 (eg 7.5 would be 75%)
Bitcoin value (eg 50K would be 50%)
How many total videos on Joseph Anderson's Youtube Channel
Age of Nobel Peace Prize winner in 2025
How many countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic
How many nuclear power plants operating in the USA
Number of Republican Senators
Highest Number of Home Runs hit by a single player in 2025 MLB season
Last 2 digits of Minecraft Bedrock's most recent patch (eg 1.50.30 would be 30%)
Latest ChatGPT version number released (eg 6.5 would be 65%)
How many new shows on Broadway in 2025
How many points the winning Superbowl team has
Jersey number of the Cy Young award winner
How many US states have legalized recreational marijuana
How many points the losing Superbowl team has
Manifold's average MAU (eg 25k would be 25%)
How many SpaceX Launches in Dec of 2025
Jersey number of the Heisman trophy winner
Number of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic hurricane season
Number of anime profile pics in Manifold's top 100 traders
Number of trillion dollar companies
Jersey number of the NBA rookie of the year
99
90
88
83
67
59
56
55
53
51
50
49
40
37
30
22
21
19
18
17
9
6
