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Prediction markets for Bespoke

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

50.65%chance

7826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

987

Vibe-coding software reaches 100M+ MAU (summed across all platforms) by 2026 EOY?

Oct 22, 8:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.75%chance

5670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1614

620

Loans against Polymarket positions widely available before EOY 2026?

Jun 25, 11:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.18%chance

8339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

When will the LOOPA by ferluht Kickstarter be available?

Aug 23, 12:51 PMJan 1, 1:44 PM

2280

OptionProbability

Before September 30, 2025

October 2025

November 2025

December 2025

76

50

50

50

Will investment banks be impacted significantly due to the ease of creating custom software tools using AI by 2030?

Jun 25, 1:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80.72%chance

7167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

286

120

Will investment banks be impacted significantly due to the ease of creating custom software tools using AI?

Jun 25, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3105

OptionProbability

Yes, between 2026 to end of 2030

Yes, between 2031 to end of 2035

Yes, before end of 2025

Not before end of 2035

40

29

23

8

More 1080p+ Video Feeds Than Humans by 2040?

Nov 20, 8:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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