Beyond ONE News

YES

YES

Democrats make substantial concessions

Republicans back off and accept a mostly neutral CR

Other

NO

The case is fully resolved somehow, including all appeals, by the end of 2026.

Disney sues OpenAI for copyright infringement before the NYT case concludes.

NYT and OpenAI announce a partnership that goes beyond access to training data, such as the one OpenAI made with Politico.

The case settles for more than $10 million before a verdict is reached.

The case is fully resolved somehow, including all appeals, by the end of 2025.

The case settles before a verdict is reached.

New York Times wins at least $1 in damages via a verdict.

The case is fully resolved somehow, including all appeals, by the end of 2024.

The case appears before the Supreme Court.

Nintendo sues OpenAI for copyright infringement before the NYT case concludes.

OpenAI wins via an outright verdict in their favor.

The case settles for more than $100 million before a verdict is reached.

New York Times wins at least $10 million in damages via a verdict.

New York Times wins at least $100 million in damages via a verdict.

New York Times wins at least $1 billion in damages via a verdict.

The Supreme Court rules in favor of The New York Times and upholds damages and compensation with a net present value of $10 million or more, but does not order GPT-4 deleted.

New York Times wins a verdict ordering GPT-4 to be deleted.

The Supreme Court orders GPT-4 to be deleted, or OpenAI otherwise agrees to delete GPT-4 on the basis of this case.

Covid

Russia-Ukraine War

Brexit

January 6th

Israel-Hamas War

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

LLMs

George Floyd Protests

The Rise of China

Private Spaceflight

Bitcoin

Violent repression of women in Iran

New York v Trump 2024

Tigray War

BRICS Expansion

Meme stocks

NO

YES

YES

NO

NO

NO