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Prediction markets for Bezos

Will Jeff Bezos run for President before 2060?

Aug 21, 11:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.1%chance

462390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

989

919

Musk, Zuck, or Bezos physically fight someone in space anytime through 2031

Sep 18, 9:07 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.77%chance

132053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1951

889

Will Jeff Bezos ever orbit or walk on the Moon?

Mar 25, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.18%chance

371762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2571

1688

Will a surgery take place on the moon before Jeff Bezos dies

Mar 29, 10:55 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

18.99%chance

191294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

904

Will Jeff Bezos ever walk on the Moon?

Mar 25, 9:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.07%chance

201059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

925

Will Jeff Bezos spend a day in outer space?

Mar 28, 7:35 AMMar 29, 3:59 AM

49.49%chance

26722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

874

Will Jeff Bezos sell/close the Washington Post by 2030?

Jan 1, 1:43 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

38.94%chance

17652

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

822

Will Jeff Bezos live to see ASI

Mar 28, 3:04 AMDec 4, 4:59 AM

58.64%chance

18545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

947

Will Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?

Mar 28, 7:37 AMMar 29, 3:59 AM

25.37%chance

20482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

883

Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?

Oct 29, 11:49 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4470

OptionProbability

Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer

Trump wins, Bezos becomes poorer

Trump loses, Bezos becomes richer

Trump loses, Bezos becomes poorer

77

20

2

1

Elon Musk shakes Jeff Bezos hand by 2030

Feb 14, 4:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.14%chance

11116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

971

Will Jeff Bezos be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 19, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.17%chance

410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

103

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