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Prediction markets for BIA
Prediction markets for BIA
If China invades Taiwan will the invasion be successful? [No Survivorship Bias]
Feb 24, 12:52 AM
Jan 1, 12:57 AM
44.56%
chance
47
7663
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1024
957
How biased is this coin?
Aug 25, 8:54 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
43.6%
chance
42
3183
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1311
903
In which score range will the 'Average' (Jun-Biao) level fall for the 2026 GSAT Social Studies exam in Taiwan?
Jan 7, 3:17 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2
752
Option
Probability
9
11
10
62
20
18
SEC changes to biannual reporting?
Sep 15, 7:17 PM
Mar 15, 7:11 PM
3.2%
chance
7
460
Option
Votes
YES
NO
550
18
Will "Underdog bias rules everything around me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Aug 23, 8:54 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
15.99%
chance
2
80
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1022
874
Will "Race and Gender Bias As An Example of Unfaith..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 3, 3:43 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14.05%
chance
3
21
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1001
996
Give me an example of any article on Wikipedia with a right-wing bias
Dec 29, 3:36 AM
0
0
Which news source is least biased, BBC News or The Telegraph?
Nov 10, 7:44 AM
23
0
Is manifold market politically biased? If so, in which direction?
Mar 9, 10:51 AM
15
0
Best example of a terrible, horribly biased, completely untrustworthy study published in a real journal
Dec 9, 4:44 AM
0
0
Recommend me biased wikipedia articles
Jan 1, 8:13 PM
0
0
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