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Prediction markets for Big Four
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?
Jul 4, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM
131949
OptionProbability
44
30
27
27
26
26
26
26
OptionProbability
66
32
1
1
Will one of the Big Four airlines go bankrupt, be acquired, or cease operations before EOY 2026?
Dec 24, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19%chance
15644
OptionVotes
328
132
Will POWDR announce the sale of a ski area to Vail, Alterra, Mountain Capital Partners, or Boyne by summer 2026?
Aug 23, 2:42 AMSep 27, 3:59 AM
56%chance
4612
OptionVotes
113
89
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
OptionProbability
48
18
11
9
7
4
4
Who will be the first QB from the 2024 Draft Class to win league MVP?
Feb 16, 7:22 AMFeb 17, 11:59 PM
551
OptionProbability
54
14
8
8
8
8