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Prediction markets for Big Fund

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

922

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?

Jan 8, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.5%chance

211327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

437

34

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?

Jun 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43%chance

7137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Artemis 4 Launch Year

Feb 14, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

2029

2030

Not before 2035/Announced Cancelled

2031

2032

2033

2034

48

26

8

6

5

3

3

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.79%chance

6121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

79

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Jun 9, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.28%chance

6100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Jun 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.59%chance

388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

61

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2045?

Jun 9, 5:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.28%chance

568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.64%chance

643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

223

191

How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]

May 4, 10:46 PMMay 11, 10:28 PM

63.95%chance

436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

33

17

17

17

17

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