Big Fund News

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.07%chance

347402

OptionVotes

YES

1458

688

If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?

Jan 4, 10:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

172560

OptionProbability

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a <10% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >50% but <90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a <50% but >10% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabalistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2027

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabilistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2025

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabilistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2026

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?

Jan 8, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.5%chance

211327

OptionVotes

YES

437

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

28.12%chance

251306

OptionVotes

YES

1669

510

Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?

Mar 27, 3:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.28%chance

6549

OptionVotes

YES

295

Will Trump Accounts be expanded to include Americans under 40 years old by EOY 2027?

Oct 20, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.64%chance

4525

OptionVotes

YES

1245

864

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?

Jun 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.9%chance

8193

OptionVotes

YES

143

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.86%chance

7136

OptionVotes

YES

142

Artemis 4 Launch Year

Feb 14, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

5129

OptionProbability

2029

2030

Not before 2035/Announced Cancelled

2031

2032

2033

2034

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Jun 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.1%chance

495

OptionVotes

YES

146

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.64%chance

643

OptionVotes

YES

223

191

How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]

May 4, 10:46 PMMay 11, 10:28 PM

63.95%chance

436

OptionVotes

YES

133

Big Fund News

Prediction markets for Big Fund

Prediction markets for Big Fund

Prediction markets for Big Fund

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?

Will Trump Accounts be expanded to include Americans under 40 years old by EOY 2027?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Artemis 4 Launch Year

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]

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