Big Fund News

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

325752

OptionVotes

YES

1335

751

If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?

Jan 4, 10:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

162184

OptionProbability

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabalistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2027

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a <10% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >50% but <90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a <50% but >10% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabilistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2025

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabilistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2026

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?

Jan 8, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.5%chance

211327

OptionVotes

YES

437

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

39.72%chance

20807

OptionVotes

YES

1328

683

Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?

Mar 27, 3:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.28%chance

6549

OptionVotes

YES

295

Artemis 4 Launch Year

Feb 14, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

2029

2030

Not before 2035/Announced Cancelled

2031

2032

2033

2034

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.79%chance

6121

OptionVotes

YES

127

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Jun 9, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.28%chance

6100

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Jun 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.59%chance

388

OptionVotes

YES

163

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Jun 9, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58%chance

471

OptionVotes

YES

118

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2045?

Jun 9, 5:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.28%chance

568

OptionVotes

YES

111

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

Big Fund News

Prediction markets for Big Fund

Prediction markets for Big Fund

Prediction markets for Big Fund

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?

Artemis 4 Launch Year

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2045?

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

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