Big Fund News

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

325852

OptionVotes

YES

1365

735

If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?

Jan 4, 10:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

162184

OptionProbability

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabalistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2027

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a <10% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >50% but <90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a <50% but >10% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities"

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabilistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2025

Rootclaim/Saar will take a probabilistic stance on Al-Shifa Hospital before 2026

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?

Jan 8, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.5%chance

211327

OptionVotes

YES

437

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

28.12%chance

251306

OptionVotes

YES

1669

510

Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?

Mar 27, 3:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.28%chance

6549

OptionVotes

YES

295

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?

Jun 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.16%chance

7139

OptionVotes

YES

117

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.86%chance

7136

OptionVotes

YES

142

Artemis 4 Launch Year

Feb 14, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

5129

OptionProbability

2029

2030

Not before 2035/Announced Cancelled

2031

2032

2033

2034

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Jun 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.1%chance

495

OptionVotes

YES

146

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.09%chance

895

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.64%chance

643

OptionVotes

YES

223

191

How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]

May 4, 10:46 PMMay 11, 10:28 PM

63.95%chance

436

OptionVotes

YES

133

Big Fund News

Prediction markets for Big Fund

Prediction markets for Big Fund

Prediction markets for Big Fund

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Artemis 4 Launch Year

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]

Latest stories