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Biosphere News

Will we discover alien life before 2032?

Jan 9, 1:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

11.75%chance

626910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

943

Will we discover alien life before 2031?

Jan 9, 1:25 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9%chance

415254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

963

Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card

Jan 1, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

544989

OptionProbability

World's First Trillionaire

Measles Outbreak

I do 1 (one) Pull-up

Blue Wave

Big Youtuber Quits

New Smell Invented

Chevy Bolt is a Huge Success

New dinosaur named for tiktok thing

World's 1st Trillionaire No longer a Trillionaire

Dark "Saved by the Bell" Reboot

GTA6 Saves or ruins the economy

Apple Vision Amateur

ad supported medical care

Billionaire Sperm Bank

Beloved actor cast as Elon in biopic

Trump Declares Himself an Olympian

Famous person marries an AI

RFK jr gets himself fired

Waymo Car learns to do donuts

Shadow Biosphere

New Particle

OpenAI Makes GPT Phone

T.Swift Married in Montana

NVDA Down 35% From Peak

"Don't Die" guy does funniest possible thing

95

89

85

83

69

65

60

36

35

34

31

31

28

25

20

19

18

18

13

13

10

9

5

5

3

Will we discover alien life before 2033?

Jan 12, 7:10 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

13.73%chance

474633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

678

Will we discover alien life before 2038?

Feb 10, 12:19 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

22%chance

374520

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

776

Will we discover alien life before 2034?

Jan 26, 10:57 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

12.79%chance

584293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

983

936

Will we discover alien life before 2039?

Feb 17, 2:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

25.21%chance

392800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

873

Will we discover alien life before 2036?

Feb 3, 6:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

19.61%chance

262102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

736

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20.54%chance

331116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

939

Will life be found in the deep biosphere of any other solar system bodies before 2035?

Oct 12, 3:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.59%chance

61051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

411

24

Which planetary boundaries will be exceeded in the next Planetary Boundaries report?

Nov 20, 10:22 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

5455

OptionProbability

Climate change

Biosphere integrity

Novel entities

Biochemical flow

Land-system change

Freshwater change

Ocean acidification

Atmospheric aerosol loading

Stratospheric ozone depletion

88

87

87

86

84

82

50

13

13

Will a shadow biosphere be discovered on Earth before 2050

Jan 3, 2:53 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

11.42%chance

5184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

306

93

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