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Biosphere News

Will we discover alien life before 2032?

Jan 9, 1:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9%chance

556336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

947

Will we discover alien life before 2035?

Feb 2, 11:35 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

12.33%chance

445091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

977

969

Will we discover alien life before 2031?

Jan 9, 1:25 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

7.03%chance

374664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1366

938

Will we discover alien life before 2033?

Jan 12, 7:10 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.45%chance

424301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

992

976

Will we discover alien life before 2034?

Jan 26, 10:57 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

10%chance

493725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

950

Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card

Jan 1, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

413208

OptionProbability

Measles Outbreak

I do 1 (one) Pull-up

Blue Wave

Big Youtuber Quits

World's First Trillionaire

New Smell Invented

Chevy Bolt is a Huge Success

Shadow Biosphere

New dinosaur named for tiktok thing

ad supported medical care

World's 1st Trillionaire No longer a Trillionaire

NVDA Down 35% From Peak

GTA6 Saves or ruins the economy

Dark "Saved by the Bell" Reboot

Beloved actor cast as Elon in biopic

Apple Vision Amateur

Billionaire Sperm Bank

RFK jr gets himself fired

Trump Declares Himself an Olympian

New Particle

Waymo Car learns to do donuts

Famous person marries an AI

OpenAI Makes GPT Phone

T.Swift Married in Montana

"Don't Die" guy does funniest possible thing

91

83

74

69

68

65

62

50

46

46

45

41

35

34

31

31

31

28

23

23

22

19

9

6

3

Will we discover alien life before 2039?

Feb 17, 2:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

17.97%chance

342580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

922

Will we discover alien life before 2036?

Feb 3, 6:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

13.84%chance

231973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

973

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20.54%chance

331116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

939

Will life be found in the deep biosphere of any other solar system bodies before 2035?

Oct 12, 3:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.59%chance

61051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

411

24

Will a shadow biosphere be discovered on Earth before 2050

Jan 3, 2:53 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

11.42%chance

5184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

306

93

Which planetary boundaries will be exceeded in the next Planetary Boundaries report?

Nov 20, 10:22 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3103

OptionProbability

Biosphere integrity

Climate change

Biochemical flow

Novel entities

Land-system change

Freshwater change

Ocean acidification

Atmospheric aerosol loading

Stratospheric ozone depletion

76

66

66

63

57

57

50

50

34

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