Bipartisan News

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

486932

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

Worldwide Pandemic

Will Trump Invade Greenland by February 28

Jan 17, 6:46 PMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

1%chance

252709

OptionVotes

YES

647

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.93%chance

191553

OptionVotes

YES

1351

863

Will Trump preserve Biden’s clean energy tax credits?

Mar 17, 4:27 PMJan 20, 7:59 AM

17.01%chance

81087

OptionVotes

YES

2033

614

Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?

May 16, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.02%chance

141085

OptionVotes

YES

1277

783

Will the US President or UK Prime Minister confirm the existence of Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 12:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.66%chance

5984

OptionVotes

YES

1017

857

Virginia redistricting before midterms?

Oct 29, 7:22 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

71.33%chance

7555

OptionVotes

YES

931

229

Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?

May 19, 11:02 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

24.58%chance

7449

OptionVotes

YES

175

If solar geoengineering becomes a major issue in US politics, which party will support it?

Feb 10, 1:25 PMFeb 17, 10:59 PM

18218

OptionProbability

Republican support

Democrat support

Will the Clintons invoke the fifth amendment or executive privilege in their testimony regarding Epstein?

Feb 2, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4123

OptionProbability

At least one Clinton invokes executive privilege during testimony

At least one Clinton invokes the Fifth Amendment during testimony

Pam Bondi impeachment articles pass house?

Dec 21, 12:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.18%chance

249

OptionVotes

YES

133

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What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Will Trump Invade Greenland by February 28

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Will Trump preserve Biden’s clean energy tax credits?

Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?

Will the US President or UK Prime Minister confirm the existence of Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) before the end of 2026?

Virginia redistricting before midterms?

Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?

If solar geoengineering becomes a major issue in US politics, which party will support it?

Will the Clintons invoke the fifth amendment or executive privilege in their testimony regarding Epstein?

Pam Bondi impeachment articles pass house?

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