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Prediction markets for BIS

Will Taylor Swift publicly come out as gay, bisexual, or queer before the end of 2030?

Jan 31, 2:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.29%chance

756394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2535

1133

Construction on Billy Bishop to enable jets started?

Mar 15, 7:39 PMMar 22, 7:28 PM

4.72%chance

83753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4493

223

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.26%chance

103200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3614

283

Will the US have a (new) homosexual or bisexual president by 2033?

Jan 30, 9:14 PMFeb 1, 5:00 AM

16.04%chance

331137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1355

902

Will the European Bison (Bison bonasus) become extinct in the current century?

Feb 22, 7:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.14%chance

121112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

211

What will be the German Youth Word of the Year 2026? (67? Du bist gut genug? Ragebait? ...)

Jul 29, 8:05 PMOct 10, 9:59 PM

4976

OptionProbability

67

Crashout

Du bist gut genug

Gute Käse

Peak

Ragebait

Schere

Süper

Digga

Macker

50

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

3

3

Trump confirmed to be bisexual?

Nov 15, 5:53 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

32.27%chance

19919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will the American Bison (Bison bison) become extinct in the current century?

Feb 22, 7:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.33%chance

12880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

331

Bisexuality more common than heterosexuality in the US by 2050?

Jun 14, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.88%chance

10492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

38

Will there be a confirmed or reliable sighting of a wild Bishop's 'o'o by the end of 2030?

Aug 3, 5:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.96%chance

3128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

51

Will Connor Storrie come out as gay or bisexual by December 31 2026?

Feb 15, 1:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.12%chance

5121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

50

Will US BIS announce a new export control update affecting AI accelerators before 2026-09-30?

May 4, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

75%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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