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Prediction markets for BiT Global

Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?

Oct 16, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.08%chance

4812070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4661

1179

Will Nick Szabo (computer scientist and cryptographer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 10, 12:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.84%chance

8504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

559

113

When will 1%+ of processors produced in a year have a word size of 128 bits or more?

Aug 15, 3:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4122

OptionProbability

Before 2226

Before 2176

Before 2126

Before 2076

76

72

66

59

How many C919 airliners will Comac deliver by 2045?

May 29, 12:00 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

70.97%chance

344

OptionProbability

NO

YES

300

257

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