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Prediction markets for Bitcoin Network

Will Bitcoin change its block reward mechanism by 2040?

Mar 18, 6:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.16%chance

95602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

442

130

Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?

Dec 18, 9:07 AMMar 3, 4:59 AM

13.48%chance

172458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

918

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2102

476

Will Manifold enable purchasing Mana with Bitcoin before 2030?

Aug 30, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.74%chance

351297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

853

Which crypto currency technologies will be usable in the X everything app?

Nov 8, 1:45 AMDec 15, 10:59 PM

3982

OptionProbability

Other

Bitcoin - Lightning Network

Ethereum

Bitcoin

There will be no such thing

85

39

39

38

23

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

455

Bitcoin: Will Satoshi's Genesis coins be moved before 2050?

Sep 8, 7:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.41%chance

9533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

534

154

Bitcoin: Knots vs Core in 2026

Sep 24, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

220

OptionProbability

Core

Knots

59

41

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