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Prediction markets for Blockbuster

What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Mar 22, 8:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3015753

OptionProbability

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

79

17

3

0

0

0

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Oct 10, 2:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.8%chance

365077

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3049

331

Where will Giannis Antetuokoumpo be traded to?

Jun 19, 2:30 AMJun 26, 2:28 AM

152928

OptionProbability

Miami Heat

Boston Celtics

Timberwolves

Pistons

New York Knicks

Los Angeles Lakers

Golden State Warriors

Dallas Mavericks

Philadelphia 76ers

Oklahoma City Thunder

Phoenix Suns

Brooklyn Nets

Chicago Bulls

Houston Rockets

Will not be traded

Other

99

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

What will Project Hail Mary Global Box Office Gross be (in Millions) 🍿🎥🎬🚀🧑‍🚀

Mar 23, 7:38 PMSep 20, 1:59 PM

192829

OptionProbability

Above $350M

Above $450M

Above $550M

Above $650M

Above $850M

Above $950M

Above $750M

100

100

100

100

5

5

4

Avengers Doomsday to be delayed

Apr 6, 3:19 PMDec 30, 12:00 AM

92.8%chance

181066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

359

28

Avengers: Doomsday V Dune: Messiah! Which one will "blink"? Both are currently dated Dec 18, 2026 - release date in USA.

Sep 3, 7:29 AMDec 18, 11:59 PM

19666

OptionProbability

Neither

Dune: Messiah

Avengers: Doomsday

Both

72

14

13

1

Will the Batman 2 be released in cinemas?

Dec 17, 9:00 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

95.18%chance

4368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

444

23

Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?

May 27, 3:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.52%chance

18363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

171

58

Gay Batman blockbuster by 2040?

Nov 29, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.33%chance

10193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Chris Pratt will direct a movie by the end of 2029.

May 30, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.07%chance

887

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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