OptionVotes
YES
NO
3049
331
OptionProbability
$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)
$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)
$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)
$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)
$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)
Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)
35
25
19
9
3
361
28
Dune: Messiah
Neither
Avengers: Doomsday
Both
38
30
29
140
71
Above $350M
Above $450M
Above $550M
Above $650M
Above $750M
Above $850M
Above $950M
83
76
50
24
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie > The Super Mario Bros. Movie, at Worldwide Box Office
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie > The Super Mario Bros. Movie, at US Box Office
43
37
