OptionProbability
$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)
Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)
$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)
$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)
$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)
$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)
99
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3399
297
Above $350M
Above $450M
Above $550M
Above $650M
Above $750M
Above $850M
Above $950M
100
4
3
765
13
Neither
Avengers: Doomsday
Dune: Messiah
Both
102
98
494
20
148
68
122
82