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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Billionaire

Will Elon Musk be the world's wealthiest person on January 1, 2027?

Jan 4, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.62%chance

4512767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3691

42

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

23%chance

446890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1497

786

Generation Starship By 2150

Jul 4, 1:37 PMJul 31, 6:30 PM

44.34%chance

323357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29765

27549

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033?

Feb 3, 8:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22%chance

211022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

Will Elon Musk be worth more than FY2026 DOD funding on Dec. 31 2026?

Dec 24, 6:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.29%chance

10537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

63

When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes

Mar 15, 5:46 PMMar 15, 5:41 PM

6492

OptionProbability

2029 or later

By Dec 31 2027

By Dec 31 2028

by dec 31 2026

67

17

10

5

Will the combined net worth of Greg Brockman and Dario Amodei exceed that of Elon Musk, before one of them dies?

Jul 5, 6:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.8%chance

6158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

17

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