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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Billionaire

Will Elon Musk be the world's wealthiest person on January 1, 2027?

Jan 4, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.79%chance

359217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2363

424

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.05%chance

416652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

834

When will Elon Musk's net worth surpass $1 trillion?

Oct 2, 4:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

294962

OptionProbability

October 2026 or before

Other

January 2037 or later

June 2029

December 2030

June 2027

December 2026

October 2027

December 2027

December 2033

December 2036

61

31

3

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

When will Elon Musk first have a net worth of $1 trillion

Jan 30, 10:36 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

8916

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2029

2030+

2028

2025

77

6

6

6

4

0

Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before July 2026?

Jan 27, 1:27 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

48%chance

24899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Elon Musk will be worth less than $250B before he is worth more than $1 trillion

Nov 7, 5:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

20535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033?

Feb 3, 8:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.9%chance

7254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

53

Who will be the first trillionaire?

Dec 29, 5:04 PMDec 29, 11:59 PM

7191

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Jeff Bezos

Larry Ellison

Mark Zuckerberg

Jensen Huang

Larry Page

Other

84

3

3

3

3

3

3

Will Elon Musk be worth more than FY2026 DOD funding on Dec. 31 2026?

Dec 24, 6:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.52%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

54

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