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Top stories

Eric Jackson Promotes Opendoor $OPEN With $500 Target, Cites Supply Advantage, Campaigns Outside Drake’s Home During European Tour

Authors

7

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Bloomberg Business

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51448

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Microsoft

Apple

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

90

85

84

82

75

13

11

Will Michael Bloomberg (mayor, businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 9, 1:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.05%chance

12358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

928

Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.06%chance

13270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

945

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Jan 12, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

438

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

34

32

11

11

11

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