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Top stories

Eric Jackson Promotes Opendoor $OPEN With $500 Target, Cites Supply Advantage, Campaigns Outside Drake’s Home During European Tour

Authors

7

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Bloomberg Business

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61628

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Apple

Microsoft

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

93

87

86

84

75

13

11

Will Michael Bloomberg (mayor, businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 9, 1:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.05%chance

12358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

928

Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.52%chance

14320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1245

938

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Jan 12, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.18%chance

8172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?

Feb 19, 9:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6172

OptionProbability

No IPO by Dec 31, 2026

Yes — valuation $1T–$1.5T

Yes — valuation $500B–$1T

Yes — valuation under $500B

Yes — valuation above $1.5T

41

20

17

11

10

Now Amazon buys Konami on 2034!

Feb 10, 2:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.08%chance

360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Now Target buys Starbucks on 2032

Feb 10, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47%chance

546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

438

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

34

32

11

11

11

Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

Feb 10, 2:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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