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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Economics

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

4710068

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1780

562

Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?

Jul 13, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.08%chance

237115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2059

486

Børge Brende resigns as CEO of WEF by May 1st 2026.

Feb 8, 10:50 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

58.68%chance

61179

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

839

Will canadian dollars drop below $0.70 usd before June 2026

Oct 24, 2:46 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

50.06%chance

81076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

999

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Jan 13, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.43%chance

12442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

Who leaked the Dmitriev-Witkoff and Dmitriev-Ushakov calls? (ADD ANSWERS)

Nov 26, 1:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2243

OptionProbability

Someone within the Trump administration

Russia

Ukraine

Another European country

A journalist or private signals intelligence enthusiast

Other

18

16

16

16

16

16

Australian dollar at or below 0.50 USD by EOY2026?

Apr 11, 12:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.45%chance

8229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

329

30

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Jan 12, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.99%chance

7162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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