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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Economics

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.94%chance

351107913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2005

499

Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?

Jul 13, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.36%chance

237191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2442

409

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.51%chance

312442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

860

Will canadian dollars drop below $0.70 usd before June 2026

Oct 24, 2:46 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

39.07%chance

91326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Jan 13, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.23%chance

19662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Who leaked the Dmitriev-Witkoff and Dmitriev-Ushakov calls? (ADD ANSWERS)

Nov 26, 1:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2243

OptionProbability

Someone within the Trump administration

Russia

Ukraine

Another European country

A journalist or private signals intelligence enthusiast

Other

18

16

16

16

16

16

Australian dollar at or below 0.50 USD by EOY2026?

Apr 11, 12:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.5%chance

8230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

328

30

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Jan 12, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.18%chance

8172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Japan intervene in currency markets before May 2026?

Mar 22, 8:09 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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