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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Intelligence

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.07%chance

275257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2989

335

Will Sam Altman file a case against anthropic in next 3 months?

May 9, 11:26 PMAug 9, 11:25 PM

5.55%chance

93125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4125

242

Will Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 35 billion on June 30, 2026?

Mar 30, 10:30 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

87.82%chance

3292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

248

19

Will Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 45 billion on June 30, 2026?

Mar 30, 10:30 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

93.86%chance

2172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

215

3

Will China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 11:30 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

55.42%chance

227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

90

Will China rhenium imports exceed 42 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 11:30 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028?

Apr 7, 11:31 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will China rhenium imports exceed 42 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029?

Apr 7, 11:32 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will China rhenium imports exceed 42 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:31 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028?

Apr 7, 11:31 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

Jan 4, 7:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Combatant commanders/Joint Chiefs

Cabinet member

50

47

Will China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 11:30 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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