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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Invest

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.06%chance

406138937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3379

296

Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

69.18%chance

914908

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14981

6675

Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

74.43%chance

1014064

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17063

5861

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

Jan 4, 1:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

0.03%chance

286950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5413

2

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.37%chance

404076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

645

Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?

Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

112134

OptionProbability

USA Rare Earth

ExxonMobile

Chevron

Sunoco

GlobalFoundries

Boeing

Ford

Palantir

Tesla

AMD

United Health

Moderna

55

50

50

50

35

29

17

17

15

15

12

8

Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?

Oct 9, 12:53 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6817

OptionProbability

Other

None

Point72

Balyasny

Millennium

Citadel

48

38

4

4

3

3

Will Perplexity become profitable by EOY 2027?

May 19, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.27%chance

9157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

42

Now Amazon buys Konami on 2034!

Feb 10, 2:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.48%chance

4117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

562

OptionProbability

Perplexity

xAI

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

38

28

19

7

7

Who Hasbro buys Sanrio on 2030 only

Feb 10, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.22%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

Will https://www.tetsuwan.com/ Series A by EOY2028?

May 15, 1:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.96%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

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