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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Media

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?

Dec 17, 9:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

31.05%chance

165276698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148701

67433

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.05%chance

416652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

834

🚘 When will global EV sales exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines?

Feb 4, 10:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

604155

OptionProbability

Before 2030

2030 - 2040

Never / 2040 or after

50

50

1

Will a major tech company (Apple, Google, Microsoft, or Meta) acquire a neurotech startup in 2025?

Mar 8, 11:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.99%chance

15845

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

905

Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?

Apr 22, 3:25 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

70.24%chance

19714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1361

789

Will Guyana suffer from the oil curse by 2035?

Jun 19, 11:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

30%chance

16518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

826

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

55.16%chance

7277

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

902

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