Bloomberg News News
Top stories
Citigroup Hires Paul Weiss to Probe Complaints Against Wealth Chief Sieg
Authors
11
9 months ago
Prediction markets for Bloomberg News
What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?
Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM
76143919
OptionProbability
22
8
8
8
8
6
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
OptionVotes
2400
417
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
87%chance
31987996
OptionVotes
14424
4861
OptionProbability
46
34
29
29
20
14
12
10
9
1
Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
Apr 5, 10:29 PMApr 5, 10:27 PM
25.01%chance
396346
OptionVotes
1731
578
OptionVotes
1228
815
Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?
Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM
38.59%chance
81189
OptionVotes
1261
793
Will a full-scale military conflict between the US/Israel and Iran resume by May 31, 2026?
May 5, 9:42 PMMay 30, 11:59 PM
44%chance
15773
OptionVotes
1128
886
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM
39.77%chance
9612
OptionVotes
1231
813
OptionVotes
1103
863
US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028
Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
45.42%chance
5298
OptionVotes
1096
912
Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
56.94%chance
1150
OptionVotes
1150
870

