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Citigroup Hires Paul Weiss to Probe Complaints Against Wealth Chief Sieg
Authors
11
6 months ago
Prediction markets for Bloomberg News
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
73.54%chance
28964435
OptionVotes
7848
6367
What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?
Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM
3727127
OptionProbability
16
13
11
10
9
8
8
7
7
5
3
2
OptionVotes
1884
531
Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
Jul 13, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.08%chance
237115
OptionVotes
2059
486
Will Kalshi release internal data on losses incurred by the bottom decile of users?
Feb 4, 6:30 PMMar 6, 11:59 PM
21.28%chance
8959
OptionVotes
1923
520
How many times will Bloomberg publish articles mentioning "quantum computing" withinthe next 30 days?
Jan 12, 10:33 PMFeb 11, 10:30 PM
14575
OptionProbability
39
34
14
8
4
OptionVotes
247
40
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM
53.61%chance
7311
OptionVotes
1075
930
US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028
Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
45.42%chance
5298
OptionVotes
1096
912
Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.06%chance
13270
OptionVotes
1195
945
Will Nornickel's palladium production fall below 2.3 million ounces by May 5, 2026?
Feb 4, 9:01 AMMay 5, 9:01 AM
45.36%chance
3140
OptionVotes
1007
992
Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
52.44%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952