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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Technology

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.94%chance

2915988

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7381

168

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82446

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Apple

Microsoft

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

95

89

88

84

75

37

20

Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026?

Apr 30, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41%chance

16615

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?

Apr 21, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

14390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Fable 5 be reenabled for Everyone at the same time?

Jun 22, 6:25 PMDec 31, 7:24 PM

54%chance

16280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

92

At the end of 2030 which company will be worth more Coinbase (COIN) or Robinhood (Hood)?

Jun 11, 9:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6130

OptionProbability

Robinhood (HOOD)

Coinbase (COIN)

56

44

Will Russian ISPs require additional payments from end-users for cross-border traffic by the end of 2026

May 18, 7:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.12%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Now Target buys Starbucks on 2032

Feb 10, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.89%chance

565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Truth Social be bought before 2029?

Jun 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.74%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

May 18, 6:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.96%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

988

Will Russian ISPs require additional payments from end-users for cross-border mobile traffic by the end of 2026

Jun 8, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.12%chance

447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

Will CXMT reach mass production of HBM3 by the end of 2026?

Jun 23, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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