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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Technology

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

98.97%chance

3119748

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10655

120

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92796

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Microsoft

Apple

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

95

95

90

88

75

37

20

Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026?

Apr 30, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

17656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?

Apr 21, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.79%chance

14440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

40

Now Target buys Starbucks on 2032

Feb 10, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.98%chance

6161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

55

At the end of 2030 which company will be worth more Coinbase (COIN) or Robinhood (Hood)?

Jun 11, 9:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6130

OptionProbability

Robinhood (HOOD)

Coinbase (COIN)

56

44

Will Russian ISPs require additional payments from end-users for cross-border traffic by the end of 2026

May 18, 7:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.12%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Will Truth Social be bought before 2029?

Jun 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.97%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

May 18, 6:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.96%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

988

Will Russian ISPs require additional payments from end-users for cross-border mobile traffic by the end of 2026

Jun 8, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.12%chance

447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

Will CXMT reach mass production of HBM3 by the end of 2026?

Jun 23, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.71%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

91

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