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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Technology

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.16%chance

2711352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6226

197

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61758

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Apple

Microsoft

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

93

89

86

84

77

21

9

Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026?

Apr 30, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.49%chance

13537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?

Apr 21, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.92%chance

13314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

At the end of 2030 which company will be worth more Coinbase (COIN) or Robinhood (Hood)?

Jun 11, 9:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6130

OptionProbability

Robinhood (HOOD)

Coinbase (COIN)

56

44

Now Target buys Starbucks on 2032

Feb 10, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.89%chance

565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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