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Prediction markets for Bloomberg Technology

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

124030

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Apple

Alphabet

Microsoft

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

98

97

95

92

88

13

9

Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026?

Apr 30, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.5%chance

20940

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

32

Will Anthropic or OpenAI revenue run rate exceed Tesla, SpaceX, and X combined by Dec 31, 2026?

Aug 10, 11:01 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

25.07%chance

8798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

81

Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035?

Sep 7, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.97%chance

12622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

397

25

Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?

Apr 21, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

14490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

At the end of 2030 which company will be worth more Coinbase (COIN) or Robinhood (Hood)?

Jun 11, 9:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6130

OptionProbability

Robinhood (HOOD)

Coinbase (COIN)

56

44

Will Russian ISPs require additional payments from end-users for cross-border traffic by the end of 2026

May 18, 7:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.12%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Will Truth Social be bought before 2029?

Jun 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.97%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will China buy the H200 from NVIDIA

Aug 24, 6:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.19%chance

266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

May 18, 6:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.96%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

988

Will Russian ISPs require additional payments from end-users for cross-border mobile traffic by the end of 2026

Jun 8, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.12%chance

447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

Will CXMT reach mass production of HBM3 by the end of 2026?

Jun 23, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.71%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

91

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